Mugisha Muntu, Bobiwine, Mao , Jpam To Form Super Coalition That Will Spark Off Mass Exodus Of Big Personalities From NRM by 2021

 Mugisha Muntu, Bobiwine,  Mao , Jpam To Form Super Coalition That Will Spark Off Mass Exodus Of Big Personalities From NRM by 2021

 

Hon Robert Kyagulanyi Now enjoys more international surport thanPresident  Museveni

The Ugandan political landscape might get more and more interesting as more political big wigs find new political addresses in the coming three years.

The recent bye-elections  in Kyadondo East , Bugiri , Jinja east and Arua municipality introduced a Ugandan pop musician Bobiwine as the political new kid on the block ,phasing out the four time presidential contestant Rtd Col Kiiza Besigye from the scene he has dominated for over two decades as the main opposition leader.

Bobiwine himself had no political ambitions from the onset, but was plunged in the deep end when the Kyadondo east seat fell vacant paving way for him to try out his luck at elective politics.

The massive support he got encouraged him to join elective politics where he amassed the highest vote-winning margin of all elected members of parliament.

He then got motivated to push his weight behind oppositions candidates in Jinja east, Bugiri , and Arua where he again managed to be the most influential political figure ushering himself into national politics as a prospective national leader.

Although Bobiwine himself never, (and still doesn’t regard himself ready for the presidential seat) , the countrywide calls for him to challenge president Museveni have reached fever pitch.

President Museveni himself has not helped matters of anointing Bobiwine as his opponent by unleashing terror on him through torture, jail and court trials.

The resultant effect has been the mass outcry from the international community which seems to have regarded Bobiwine as a serious presidential contender. Bobiwine has since graced all the international media outlets. 

He, unlike Dr Kiiza Besigye, has addressed a news conference in the American capital which was covered by all media outlets like CNN, BBC, AL Jazeera etc.

And that is not all; he was in company of internationally renowned lawyer Robert Amsterdam, who is known to have influenced regime change in Thailand, Philippines and Venezuela. 

Mr amsterdam is known to have represented russian disident Mikhail Khordorkovsky, former CEO of Yukos Group in a suit which that wasn't liked by president Vladmir Putin.

Truth is , a man who fights Putin cannot be taken lightly. 

Within a short time, the Bobiwine brand has become one of the biggest political factors in the country today. With the backing of the Ugandan masses and the unwavering support of the international community, it’s safe to suggest that Bobiwine can easily beat president Museveni in an election. 

The Bobiwine wine phenomenon having become such a strong political factor in the country has not left other political forces intact. The first casualty has been the Forum For Democratic Change which has been torn apart. There is an obvious exodus of members who are in the process of defecting from FDC to join the people power movement.

 Now that their former Forum For Democratic Change party president Rtd major General Gregory Mugisha Muntu has quit the party, it’s just a matter of time before others follow suit.

What is most likely to happen is as interesting but also nerve wrecking as penalties in the world cup final.  It’s obvious that Mugisha Muntu’s desertion from FDC was more motivated by Bobiwine’s people power Movement which has swept the entire country rather than having lost the FDC party presidency.

Of course Muntu is no fool to leave a party that is likely to get to power and jump into a speculated political dispensation. The recent events have proved to him that people power phenomenon is only going to grow stronger.

He knows that the time for FDC and its perennial party flag bearer Dr Kiiza Besigye and that of Ugandan president Yoweri Museveni is up. Ugandans are only going to embrace a new political dispensation. The reality of the moment shows that FDC seems to have stagnated into another NRM-B rather than a formidable political alternative.

As things stand, it’s inevitable that the political forces within the opposition are not going to form a new political party as such- because it will surely be crushed by the Museveni military and money machinery.

But they are going to form some sort of silent but very cohesive coalition which will embrace all the respectable political forces in the country to upstage president Museveni in 2021.

The Alternatives

There is the unanimous view that president Museveni is no longer the political force he was five to ten years ago. Without money and the military Museveni cannot cling on for another month in power.

Therefore the question is who will take over when Museveni evaporates from power?. It’s obvious that the NRM is not the cohesive party that it pretends to be. This means that it cannot produce another leader for this country.

These are facts that most erudite Ugandans know but are shy not to talk about. Amidst all this, you should expect some notable political happenings to take place.

For instance, the Democratic Party still commands a huge following in the country. Its leader chairman Norbert Mao is obviously going to be integral in the next coalition.

The coalition will also have the return of john Patrick Amama Mbabazi as another player in the mix.

Then you will have Mugisha Muntu in the wings also dictating play while Bobiwine will mobilize the masses into one of the biggest political crusade in the country.

This will have a domino effect of affecting NRM as many senior members of the NRM are likely to defect to this coalition whose name will come close to 2021 elections.

What JPAM’s TDA failed to do in 2016 is most likely to be done by the next coalition.  This mass exodus will leave president Museveni as isolated as President Daniel Arap Moi was when he was pushed out of power mostly by his colleagues who had defected from KANU.

Then a tsunami of bigger proportions will sweep the country. 

The reason why this 2021 coalition looks very optimistic with realistic chances of capturing power stems from the fact that unlike in the past, this time there is overwhelming support from the international community and the masses are more than determined to kick Museveni out of power.

In Our Next Episode We Shall Discuss The Names Of Big Personalities Expected To Defect From The Museveni Camp

Fred Daka Kamwada Is A Blogger , Journalist And Prospective Book Author

kamwadafred@gmail.com